Dow Golden Crosses Throughout History
- Joshua M Brown
- April 16th, 2011
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has staged 5 Golden Crosses since 2005, the most recent happened on October 1st of 2010. For the uninitiated, a Golden Cross is when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average.
Buying Golden Crosses on the Dow and holding for 6 months has worked 74% of the time going back to 1950. It is a bit more than six months since the Oct 1 Golden Cross, let's look at the last few since 1990 and see how our latest one stacks up...
From Schaeffer's Investment Research:
Schaeffer's put this table up in November and hasn't done the calculation work since (that I know of). I'm pressed for time but the six month performance (Oct 1 through Apr 1) on the DJIA has been about 7%. Not too shabby.
Source:
Shedding Some Light on the DJIA Golden Cross, By the Numbers (Schaeffer's Investment Research)
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The Reformed Broker is a blog about financial markets and the economy. Joshua Brown is a New York City-based investment advisor for high net worth individuals, charitable foundations, retirement plans and corporations... More. -
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